ࡱ> EDG$( / 0DTimes New Romanllwׯ0DArialNew Romanllwׯ0 DCourier Newmanllwׯ01@ .  @n?" dd@  @@`` @3      0AA@Qdʚ;2Nʚ;g4HdHdH ׯ0ppp@ <4!d!d8vS0lpw<4dddd8vS0lpw 0___PPT10 ___PPT9 <@  ?  %The Future and IT_1George O. Strawn NSF CIO60_##Outline_1Accelerating History Western Civ Life over time IT over time New IT applications Life in2050 But& c8" _# ## ## ##Accelerating History_1?5,000,000,000 Earth is born 500,000,000 Multi-cell life forms 50,000,000 Rise of mammals 5,000,000 Humanoids 500,000 Large brains 50,000 Homo sapiens 5,000 Civilization 500 Western civilization 50 Digital computers@8_#&#!## #!#"#+#*#Three Evolutions?_+oBio Evolution: 5,000,000,000--50,000 Cultural Evolution: 50,000--500 Technological Evolution: 500--vp0_%%  Western Civ _ 1Pre-1500 Gun powder, Compass 1500 Printing press, Global sailing 1600 Science 1700 Commercial society 1800 Industrial revolutionm8" _8_8" _ #$# ####Life over time_1I1800 Agricultural age, horses, water/wind, 40 Local life, postal service|8" _D8oP_#( Life over time_11800 Agricultural age, horses, water/wind, 40 Local life, postal service 1900 Industrial age, horses, trains, steamships, 47 National life, telegraph *8" _D8oP_8" _H8oP_8_#(#.  # Life over time_11800 Agricultural age, horses, water/wind, 40 Local life, postal service 1900 Industrial age, horses, trains, steamships, 47 National life, telegraph 2000 Post-industrial age, cars, planes, 77 Global life, TV, cell phones, PCs, Internet8" _D8oP_8" _H8oP_8" _R8oP_#(#.#%   ,    IT over time _ 1 1970 tech pre Chip $ 1,000,000 CPU 1 mips Disk $1/kC Net 10 kbps8_##$####   IT over time _ 1 19702000 tech pre Chip Chip $ 1,000,0001,000 CPU 1 mips1 gips Disk $1/kC $1 /gC Net 10 kbps10 gbps8_(##$$ ##$#(#)#   IT over time _ 1+ 197020002030 tech pre Chip Chip post Chip $ 1,000,0001,000 1 CPU 1 mips1 gips 1 tips Disk $1/kC $1 /gC$1 /pC Net 10 kbps10 gbps10 pbps,8_3##2$`#0#0# New IT applications_1Simulation and modeling Sensors and actuators Collaboration and social computing Information and knowledge Brain science and engineering Education IAI8" _##"### ##  Life in2050?_1Autopilot-cars, space-planes Virtual life Augmented reality Post-work age 115 year life expectancy Designer life Silicon-based life8" _# ## ## ##  Life in 2020?_+Very high speed Internet connections are available everywhere Cloud computing has replaced personal computing (organizations' software and data are on vendors' "clouds") One-half of all high school courses are taught over the Internet Drugs are tested on computer-simulated organisms Drugs are matched to persons based on DNA (eg, a miracle drug for 90% of the people that would kill the other 10% can continue to be marketed) The USG considers moving off 2010 technology :-)0_=p@01But what about_1VEnergy Globalization Global change Global meltdown Population Rate of change TribalismW8" _# ## ## # 0` ` ̙33` 333MMM` ff3333f` f` f` 3>?" dd@,|?" dd@   " @ ` n?" dd@   @@``PR    @ ` ` p>> $(    6˜    T Click to edit Master title style! !  0Μ j   RClick to edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level!     S  0x՜ V  X*  0ڜ vV   Z*  0ߜ !V  Z*H  0N n^t ? ̙33 Default Design0  t(     <4      6 $K  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 0 t(      < M\     6OUu  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 @t(     <^\     6`  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B + 0 Px(     <0d      6pd  * Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 `t(     <|;\     6pbA  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 pt(     <d\     6ș\  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0  t(      < \     6tg1  &Hh8H  0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 $t(  $ $  <ܵ\   $  6gC  &Hh8H $ 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 (t(  ( (  <\   (  6gl[  &Hh8H ( 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 ,t(  , ,  <\   ,  6gl[  &Hh8H , 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 0t(  0 0  <h\   0  6lgl[  &Hh8H 0 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 4t(  4 4  <\   4  6{3  &Hh8H 4 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 8t(  8 8  <$\   8  6Sz   &Hh8H 8 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B + 0 <x(  < <  <d    <  6Ld  * Hh8H < 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +0 @t(  @ @  <D(\   @  6C$  &Hh8H @ 0N n^t ? ̙33y___PPT10Y+D=' = @B +rHO$A-025Y8;=@mC2FHKNFQTV1Oh+'0 `h   PowerPoint PresentationGoogleGeorge Krumbhaar2Microsoft PowerPoint@?[@?@ABCFRoot EntrydO)Current User<SummaryInformation(,PowerPoint Document(HWDocumentSummaryInformation84